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Stochastic processes --- Distribution (Probability theory) --- Distribution (Théorie des probabilités) --- Distribution (Théorie des probabilités)

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Uncertainty --- Probabilities --- Rational choice theory --- Risk --- Incertitude --- Probabilités --- Choix rationnels, Théorie des --- Risque --- Probabilités --- Choix rationnels, Théorie des

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Théorie de la décision bayésienne --- Bayesian statistical decision theory --- Prise de décision (Statistique) --- Statistical decision --- Réseaux de neurones artificiels - intelligence artificielle --- Theorie bayesienne - theorie des probabilites

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Probabilities --- Probabilités --- Méthode statistique --- Statistical methods --- Collecte de données --- data collection --- Application des ordinateurs --- computer applications --- Modèle mathématique --- Mathematical models --- Technique de prévision --- Forecasting --- Recherche de l'information --- Information retrieval --- Probabilités

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This book offers a concise survey of basic probability theory from a thoroughly subjective point of view whereby probability is a mode of judgment. Written by one of the greatest figures in the field of probability theory, the book is both a summation and synthesis of a lifetime of wrestling with these problems and issues. After an introduction to basic probability theory, there are chapters on scientific hypothesis-testing, on changing your mind in response to generally uncertain observations, on expectations of the values of random variables, on de Finetti's dissolution of the so-called problem of induction, and on decision theory.

Judgment --- Probabilities --- Probability --- Statistical inference --- Combinations --- Mathematics --- Chance --- Least squares --- Mathematical statistics --- Risk --- Judgement --- Knowledge, Theory of --- Language and languages --- Psychology --- Thought and thinking --- Wisdom --- Bayes-Regel. --- Beoordeling. --- Judgment. --- Jugement. --- PHILOSOPHY --- Probabilities. --- Probabilités. --- Waarschijnlijkheidstheorie. --- Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie. --- Epistemology. --- Arts and Humanities --- Philosophy